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Gartner Says Worldwide Wearable Device Sales to Grow 17 Percent in 2017

EGHAM, United Kingdom--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Gartner, Inc. forecasts that 310.4 million wearable

devices will be sold worldwide in 2017, an increase of 16.7 percent from

2016 (see Table 1). Sales of wearable devices will generate revenue of

$30.5 billion in 2017. Of that, $9.3 billion will be from smartwatches.

In 2017, 41.5 million smartwatches will be sold. They are on pace to

account for the highest unit sales of all wearable device form factors

from 2019 to 2021, aside from Bluetooth headsets. By 2021, sales of

smartwatches are estimated to total nearly 81 million units,

representing 16 percent of total wearable device sales.

"Smartwatches are on pace to achieve the greatest revenue potential

among all wearables through 2021, reaching $17.4 billion," said Angela

McIntyre, research director at Gartner. Revenue from smartwatches is

bolstered by relatively stable average selling prices (ASPs) of Apple

Watch. "The overall ASP of the smartwatch category will drop from

$223.25 in 2017 to $214.99 in 2021 as higher volumes lead to slight

reductions in manufacturing and component costs, but strong brands such

as Apple and Fossil will keep pricing consistent with price bands of

traditional watches," she added.

Table 1: Forecast for Wearable Devices Worldwide 2016-2018 and 2021

(Millions of Units)

Device





2016





2017





2018





2021

Smartwatch





34.80





41.50





48.20





80.96

Head-mounted display





16.09





22.01





28.28





67.17

Body-worn camera





0.17





1.05





1.59





5.62

Bluetooth headset





128.50





150.00





168.00





206.00

Wristband





34.97





44.10





48.84





63.86

Sports watch





21.23





21.43





21.65





22.31

Other fitness monitor





55.46





55.7





56.23





58.73

Total





265.88





310.37





347.53





504.65

















Source: Gartner (August 2017)

Smartwatches: A Market Divided Between Four Types of Providers

Apple will continue to have the greatest market share of any smartwatch

provider. However, as more providers enter the market, Apple's market

share will decrease from approximately a third in 2016 to a quarter in

2021. The announcement of a new Apple Watch expected in September may

enable direct cellular connectivity for interacting with Siri, texting

and transferring sensor data when the phone or Wi-Fi is not present. We

expect other consumer electronics brands such as Asus, Huawei, LG,

Samsung and Sony to sell only 15 percent of smartwatches in 2021,

because their brands do not have as strong an appeal as lifestyle brands

for personal technologies.

Two sub-categories that Gartner expects to perform well are kids'

smartwatches and traditional watch brands, which will emerge as

significant segments for smartwatches. Gartner expects kids'

smartwatches to represent 30 percent of total smartwatch unit shipments

in 2021. These devices are targeted at children in the two to 13

year-old range, before parents provide them with a smartphone.

The other sub-category, which will account for 25 percent of smartwatch

units by 2021, is fashion and traditional watch brands. "Luxury and

fashion watch brands will offer smartwatches in an attempt to attract

younger customers," said Ms. McIntyre. A final sub-category is

represented by the startup and while-label brands (e.g., Archos, Cogito,

Compal, Martian, Omate or Quanta), which will account for 5 percent of

smartwatch unit sales in 2021.

Bluetooth Headsets to Account for 48 Percent of All Wearable Devices

in 2017

In 2017, 150 million Bluetooth

headsets will be sold, an increase of 16.7 percent from 2016. Sales will

increase to 206 million units in 2021, meaning Bluetooth headsets will

remain the most sold wearable device through 2021. The growth in

Bluetooth headsets is driven by the elimination of the headphone jack by

major smartphone providers. "By 2021, we assume that almost all premium

mobile phones will no longer have the 3.5 mm jack," said Ms. McIntyre.

Head-Mounted Displays Remain in Their Infancy

Head-mounted

displays (HMDs) account for only 7 percent of all wearable devices

shipped in 2017, and will not reach mainstream adoption with consumers

or industrial customers through 2021. "Current low adoption by

mainstream consumers shows that the market is still in its infancy, not

that it lacks longer-term potential," said Ms. McIntyre.

Near-term opportunities for virtual reality HMDs among consumers are

with video game players. Workers will also use them for tasks such as

equipment repair, inspections and maintenance, but also in warehouses

and manufacturing, training, design, customer interactions and more.

Theme parks, theaters, museums and sports venues will purchase HMDs to

enhance the customers' experience in interactive attractions or movies,

and add information and supplemental images at sporting events.

Gartner clients can learn more in the report: "Forecast:

Wearable Electronic Devices, Worldwide, 2017."

Additional analysis on driving digital business transformation will be

presented during Gartner

Symposium/ITxpo 2017, the world's most important gathering of CIOs

and other senior IT executives. IT executives rely on these events to

gain insight into how their organizations can use IT to overcome

business challenges and improve operational efficiency. Follow news and

updates from the events on Twitter using #GartnerSYM.

Upcoming dates and locations for Gartner Symposium/ITxpo include:

September

18-21, Cape Town, South Africa

October

1-5, Orlando, Florida

October

23-26, Sao Paulo, Brazil

October

30-November 2, Gold Coast, Australia

October

31-November 2, Tokyo Japan

November

5-9, Barcelona, Spain

November

13-16, Goa, India

About Gartner

Gartner, Inc. (NYSE:IT) is the world's leading research and advisory

company. The company helps business leaders across all major functions

in every industry and enterprise size with the objective insights they

need to make the right decisions. Gartner's comprehensive suite of

services delivers strategic advice and proven best practices to help

clients succeed in their mission-critical priorities. Gartner is

headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, U.S.A., and has more than 13,000

associates serving clients in 11,000 enterprises in 100 countries. For

more information, visit gartner.com.

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